Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 11.798578 13.516635 15.413010 17.664052 20.266666 23.185271 26.712111
2025-09-28 9.312319 11.496179 14.103017 17.453658 21.660199 26.784764 33.529188
2025-10-05 8.185315 10.661220 13.788011 18.045949 23.723549 31.075672 41.386401
2025-10-12 7.344575 9.993442 13.496428 18.498925 25.510523 35.063747 49.194716
2025-10-19 6.764611 9.560302 13.408801 19.138296 27.529180 39.487549 58.035259
2025-10-26 5.962622 8.706222 12.615808 18.649744 27.830140 41.437695 63.440703
2025-11-02 5.366464 8.072029 12.050964 18.398100 28.400081 43.773211 69.610994
2025-11-09 4.875952 7.537241 11.566403 18.192884 28.980791 46.131714 76.019156
2025-11-16 4.446215 7.048727 11.096367 17.944895 29.438302 48.298094 82.300342
2025-11-23 4.050538 6.573623 10.597061 17.587153 29.656242 50.057168 88.035138
2025-11-30 3.922671 6.519101 10.765957 18.345812 31.818806 55.296359 100.466818
2025-12-07 3.717427 6.314523 10.663049 18.620278 33.150161 59.196357 110.876150
2025-12-14 3.472022 6.023690 10.394121 18.587520 33.946501 62.251262 120.134974
2025-12-21 3.220960 5.700973 10.040862 18.366365 34.367991 64.646676 128.386482
2025-12-28 3.120871 5.638562 10.142878 18.991574 36.444698 70.388692 144.033800
2026-01-04 3.007141 5.540308 10.168712 19.469771 38.275318 75.825809 159.699262
2026-01-11 2.927205 5.497531 10.292037 20.144807 40.559784 82.402475 178.606108
2026-01-18 2.706244 5.167035 9.839671 19.628996 40.346557 83.781438 186.189583
2026-01-25 2.534223 4.918081 9.525084 19.363329 40.627300 86.224594 196.468248
2026-02-01 2.382155 4.696670 9.246901 19.146685 40.987870 88.868021 207.523216
2026-02-08 2.237739 4.479535 8.960030 18.884898 41.220694 91.243401 218.216676
2026-02-15 2.093314 4.251516 8.633208 18.507272 41.155164 92.927801 227.409090
2026-02-22 2.071346 4.276587 8.834394 19.308129 43.858383 101.312166 254.552878